Political Ref

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NATIONAL

STATES

TENNESSEE

TENNESSEE - McCain vs. Obama
McCain Leads by 20.0%
Polls	Date	Sample	MoE	McCain	Obama
The Ref's Averages	8/10-8/20	500V	4.5	55.5	35.5
*Middle Tennessee State Univ.	9/15-9/27	635Adults	4.0	46	36
Rasmussen	8/20	500LV	4.5	60	35
Ayres McHenry	8/10-8/12	500RV	4.38	51	36
Rasmussen	6/24	500LV	4.5	51	36
Rasmussen	4/3	500LV	4.5	58	31
*The Ref's Averages do not include polls of adults as opposed to registered or likely voters.

TENNESSEE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
McCain Leads by 3.3%
Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	McCain	Huckabee	Romney	Paul
The Ref's Average	1/28-2/2	661V	4.2	30.0	26.7	21.8	6.7
Public Policy Polling	2/2	1116LV	2.9	34	28	22	7
Insider Advantage	2/2	474LV	4.5	32	30	22	6
Rasmussen	1/30	531LV	4.5	32	23	29	8
WSMV	1/28-1/29	375LV	-	23	24	18	4
Insider Advantage	1/30	375LV	5.2	33	25	18	9
Public Policy Polling	1/28	1093LV	3.6	26	30	22	6
WSMV	1/19-1/21	500LV	-	12	24	7	2

TENNESSEE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Clinton Leads by 17.5%
Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Clinton	Obama
The Ref's Average	1/28-2/2	633.7	3.8	49.7	32.2
Public Policy Polling	2/2	1251LV	2.8	56	34
Insider Advantage	2/2	485LV	4.0	55	35
Rasmussen	1/30	448LV	5.0	49	35
WSMV	1/28-1/29	402LV	-	36	31
Insider Advantage	1/30	463V	4.0	59	26
Public Policy Polling	1/28	753LV	3.0	43	32
WSMV	1/19-1/21	503LV	-	34	20