COLORADO - McCain vs. Obama | |||||
Ref's Projection - McCain Wins | |||||
Range of Potential Vote Considering Margin of Error Without Undecided | |||||
Obama 45.7 - 52.3 | |||||
McCain 42.7 - 49.3 | |||||
Undecided - 4.0 - McCain will win most of the undecided | |||||
Polls | Date | Sample | MoE | McCain | Obama |
The Ref's Averages |
10/17-10/30 | 859LV | 3.3 | 46.0 | 49.0 |
10/28-10/29 | 625LV | 4.0 | 44 | 49 | |
10/26 | 1000LV | 3.0 | 46 | 50 | |
10/17-10/20 | 951LV | - | 48 | 48 | |
10/11-10/14 | 762LV | 3.5 | 47 | 51 | |
10/5 | 1000LV | 3.0 | 45 | 51 | |
9/29-10/1 | 625LV | 4.0 | 44 | 44 | |
9/28 | 500LV | 4.5 | 48 | 49 | |
9/19-9/23 | 501LV | 4.4 | 43 | 44 | |
9/21-9/23 | 794LV | 3.5 | 45 | 49 | |
9/23 | 505LV | 4.5 | 41 | 50 | |
9/23 | 700LV | 4.0 | 47 | 50 | |
9/14-9/21 | 1418LV | 2.6 | 45 | 49 | |
9/18 | 508LV | 4.3 | 41 | 51 | |
9/11-9/15 | 402RV | 4.9 | 44 | 45 | |
9/14 | 500LV | 4.5 | 48 | 46 | |
9/10-9/13 | 600LV | 4.0 | 46 | 44 | |
9/10 | 501LV | 4.3 | 46 | 49 | |
9/7-9/9 | 1078LV | 3.0 | 46 | 47 | |
9/7 | 500LV | 4.5 | 46 | 49 | |
9/2-9/3 | 495LV | 4.5 | 47 | 45 | |
8/24-8/26 | 670RV | 4.0 | 47 | 46 | |
8/23-8/24 | 553LV | 4.2 | 40 | 43 | |
8/21-8/21 | 450LV | 4.6 | 39 | 44 | |
8/13-8/15 | 400LV | 5.0 | 43 | 46 | |
8/15-8/21 | 1060LV | 3.0 | 47 | 46 | |
8/11-8/13 | 500LV | 4.38 | 44 | 41 | |
8/13 | 700LV | 4.0 | 49 | 48 | |
8/5-8/7 | 933LV | 3.2 | 44 | 48 | |
7/16-7/22 | 700LV | 3.7 | 41 | 45 | |
7/14-7/22 | 1425LV | 2.6 | 46 | 44 | |
7/21 | 500LV | 4.5 | 47 | 50 | |
7/9-7/10 | 1050LV | 3.0 | 43 | 47 | |
6/11-6/30 | 780LV | 3.6 | 38 | 40 | |
6/17-6/24 | 1351LV | 2.7 | 44 | 49 | |
6/17 | 500LV | 4.5 | 41 | 43 | |
5/19 | 500LV | 4.0 | 42 | 48 | |
*The Ref's Averages do not include extreme outlier polls that show demonstrably false margins. | |||||
*The Ref's Averages do not include Internet polls. |
COLORADO REPUBLICAN CAUCUSES | ||||||||
Romney Leads by 19% |
||||||||
Poll |
Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Romney |
McCain |
Huckabee | Paul | Giuliani |
The Ref's Average |
Insufficient data for poll averages | |||||||
1/21-1/23 |
LV |
3.5 |
43 |
24 |
17 | 5 | 4 |
COLORADO DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSES | ||||||
Obama Leads by 2% |
||||||
Poll |
Date |
Sample |
MoE |
Obama |
Clinton |
Edwards |
The Ref's Average |
Insufficient data for poll averages | |||||
1/21-1/23 |
LV |
3.5 |
34 |
32 |
17 |