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Saturday, August 23, 2008

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Latest State Poll Updates
Thursday 8/21 - Pennsylvania
Tuesday 8/19 - Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New York, Tennessee, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania
Sunday 8/17 - Ohio
Saturday 8/16, Colorado, North Carolina,Maine
Popular Vote
All Voters - View Graph	Obama +1.6
Likely Voters - View Graph	Obama +0.2
All Polls	Obama +1.5
Electoral Vote
Electoral Vote (W/out Leaners)	Obama 233
-	McCain 176
Electoral Vote (With Leaners)	Obama 260
	McCain 246

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View Graph
Battleground States
Ohio	McCain +2.7
Florida	McCain +2.8
Virginia	McCain +0.6
Michigan	Obama +3.5
Indiana	Obama +1.0
Colorado	Tied
Nevada	Tied
North Carolina	McCain +4.4
Missouri	McCain +5.5
Pennsylvania	Obama +4.4
Media Bias
Voter Views of Media Bias	Obama +37.5
Generic Ballot
Generic Congressional Vote	Dem +11.0
Obama vs. Generic Democrat	Generic +2.7
McCain vs. Generic Republican	McCain +6.9
Graphs \| Congress \| Obama vs. Generic Democrat \| McCain vs. Generic Republican
Approval Ratings
Bush Approval	28.5
Congressional Approval	17.3

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Recent Ref's Calls
Powell Endorsement Rumor . . . clever attempt to deflate Obama's VP buzz?
McCain Should Target Media as Clinton Backers Boil
Key Obama Strategy Threatens His Chances
The Left's Distraction Game - McCain's Task
Obama and Democrats: Please forget what we said

THE REF'S AVERAGES EXPLAINED
McCain vs. Obama - All Voters
Obama +1.6%
Obama	45.0
McCain	43.4


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McCain vs. Obama - Likely Voters Only
Obama +0.2

Obama	45.5
McCain	45.3

Generic Congressional Ballot
Democratic	48.8
Republican	36.5
See Graph

Out of Left Field

Left looking to blame the US without evidence . . . Another day, another 76 civilians killed by the United States in Afghanistan | Daily Kos
Ohio Voting Machines Contained Programming Error That Dropped Votes | Democratic Underground | Ref's Comment: It never ends!
Sufficient Grounds For IMMEDIATE Impeachment: Iraq Oil Was Stolen & Cheney Planned Theft In Advance | Democratic Underground | Ref's Comment: Too nutty.
Obama Campaign: McCain Is A Reckless Hothead | Talking Points Memo
"Elderly Chinese Women Sentenced to Labor Re-education" An Olympic moment | Huffington Post | Ref's Comment: This article comically finds ways to avoid calling the Chinese government a communist one, but criticizes it as a "totalitarian capitalist" nation.

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Ref's Best

Looks Like Biden . . . Hillary told she's not the pick . . . NBC: Bayh, Kaine out of Obama’s veep race . . . Fox News reported on O'Reilly Factor that private plane from Chicago landed at airport near Biden, activity at Biden house

Houses: Washington Post asserts McCain forgot | Ref's Comment: Did McCain forget how many he and Cindy own or were there legal particulars (children, trust, company ownership) he was trying to sort out? This issue spawned two ads, see them below.
McCain Camp Fires Back at Obama Over ‘How Many Homes?’ Comments
How McCain can pull ahead and stay ahead

Ref's Best Videos
Obama ad attacking McCain on houses, "Seven"	McCain response, "Housing Problem"
Larger Player	Larger Player
McCain takes 5-point lead in Reuters/Zogby Poll	Carville on Obama VP: Biden, Baye, or Nunn
Larger Playerr	Larger Player

Fox News

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