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Sunday, August 17, 2008
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Why the Ref's Averages are Better
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Popular Vote
All Voters - View Graph	Obama +2.0
Likely Voters - View Graph	Obama +1.0
Including Unscreened Polls of Adults	Obama +1.7
Electoral Vote
Electoral Vote (W/out Leaners)	Obama 243
-	McCain 163
Electoral Vote (With Leaners)	Obama 264
	McCain 215

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Latest State Poll Updates
Saturday 8/16 - Colorado - North Carolina - Maine
Battleground States
Ohio	Tied
Florida	McCain +2.8
Virginia	McCain +0.6
Michigan	Obama +3.5
Indiana	Obama +1.0
Colorado	Tied
Nevada	Tied
North Carolina	McCain +4.4
Missouri	McCain +5.5
Pennsylvania	Obama +6.8
Media Bias
Voter Views of Media Bias	Obama +37.5
Generic Ballot
Generic Congressional Vote	Dem +12.3
Obama vs. Generic Democrat	Generic +2.2
McCain vs. Generic Republican	McCain +5.7
Graphs \| Congress \| Obama vs. Generic Democrat \| McCain vs. Generic Republican
Approval Ratings
Bush Approval	28.5
Congressional Approval	17.3

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Recent Ref's Calls
Powell Endorsement Rumor . . . clever attempt to deflate Obama's VP buzz?
McCain Should Target Media as Clinton Backers Boil
Key Obama Strategy Threatens His Chances
The Left's Distraction Game - McCain's Task
Obama and Democrats: Please forget what we said
Poll Averages Last Updated 8/15/08, 1:55PM/EST

THE REF'S POLL AVERAGES

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THE REF'S AVERAGES EXPLAINED
McCain vs. Obama - All Voters
Obama +2.0%
Obama	44.3
McCain	42.3


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McCain vs. Obama - Likely Voters Only
Obama +1.0%

Obama	46.0
McCain	45.0

Generic Congressional Ballot
Democratic	48.8
Republican	36.5
See Graph

Today's Best Videos

Out of Left Field

Obama Bodysurfs In Hawaii (PHOTOS) | Huffington Post | Ref's Comment: Today's bit of Obama worship.
Why Soldiers Rape | In These Times | Ref's Comment: An old standby from the left.
McCain Recycling Hillary's Old Attacks Against Obama | Talking Points Memo
Say it ain't Jew, Joe | Marty Kaplan, Huffington Post | Ref's Comment: Another unfounded allegation that McCain and his allies are accusing Obama of being the Islamic candidate. There is no evidence for this. The left is attempting to create a narrative for the media to pick up on that paints McCain as a bigot. It's the lowest form of politics.
McCain Campaign Officially Endorses Lieberman's Claim That Obama Hasn't "Put Country First" | TPM
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Bush friend and Obama supporter raises McCain's infidelity - Ref's Comment: Democrats beware on this issue. This happened just after McCain came out of a 5 1/2 year captivity, a common consequence of such a tragic separation.

Ref's Best Opinions

The Lieberman Option | Rich Lowry, NRO
Hillary's Campaign Against Obama Continues | Dick Morris, Newsmax
Post your comments: Does the American electorate always get it right? | Times Online
Let's Drill Our Way To Lower Taxes | Andrew Moylan, WSJ
Testing the mettle of minds | William Murchison, Wash. Times
The Chambliss Shimmy | WSJ
Realistic (health) options for the uninsured | Gary Andres and James C. Capretta, Wash. Times
Qualified teachers wanted | Marcus Winters, Wash. Times | Ref's Comment: McCain wants to challenge the entrenched education establishment.
Republican Energy Fumble – II | Kimberley A. Strassel, WSJ
America the Uncompetitive | WSJ
The End of Placeness | Peggy Noonan, WSJ
Walking the Abortion Plank | Judith Warner, NYT | Ref's Comment: The media's current assumption that Obama can pull a substantial number of pro-lifers away from McCain ignores history.

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