RECOMMEND THE REF           

December 24, 2007

10 Days Until the Iowa Caucuses

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Giuliani Leads by 2.8%
Giuliani 22.4
Huckabee
 19.6
Romney 15.1
McCain 13.8
Thompson 11.7
Paul 4.8
See All Polls
Clinton Leads by 17.0%
Clinton 43.4
Obama 26.4
Edwards 13.0
See All Polls
STATE PRIMARY LEADERS
(EARLY STATES)
Iowa
Huckabee +10.1%
Obama +1.0%
New Hampshire
Romney +8.7%
Clinton +5.9%
South Carolina
Huckabee +7.3%
Clinton +1.5%
Michigan
Romney +0.5%
Clinton +31.0% No Delegates
Florida
Giuliani +2.0%
Clinton +23.7%
Nevada
Romney +3.5%
Clinton +17.5%
Clinton 45.5
Giuliani 44.0
Clinton 47.3
Thompson 41.3
Clinton 43.0
McCain 46.0
Clinton 47.0
Romney 43.0
Clinton 46.0
Huckabee 43.0
See All Head-to-Head Polls

Why the Ref's Poll Averages Are Superior

The Ref's Calls

Why Huckabee Cannot Last                                 

So now the Huck has bowed to the king of the conservative movement and said please, call me and let me explain. When Huckabee openly asked Limbaugh to call him he accomplished two things, he will probably get the call and he acknowledged that Rush has been hurting him politically.

What has Rush said? He said that Huckabee is too liberal on most issues other than social issues. I am not sure how talking with Rush can ease that condemnation among conservatives. 

Huckabee's problem is the opposite of Obama's, his record. Count on the Romney attacks to start scoring big soon because no novelty can survive well supported claims of soft on criminals, illegal immigration and tax raiser charges in the Republican Party.

Romney has done what Huckabee has not, exorcized his demons. Huckabee still pretends to have never backed liberal policies. A voter will sooner back someone who has "strayed" and admitted their error than someone who simply refuses to admit any error at all. 

Now that Limbaugh has identified Huckabee as a liberal on too many issues it is probably too late for him. The loudest voice on radio is an enormous voice in the Republican primaries. With Rush out until January 2nd, Huckabee is stuck with Rush's last assessment, and that will probably be enough to keep Huckabee from winning even one primary.

Limbaugh has created an impression that simply will not subside by January 3rd. He will probably reiterate his dislike of Huckabee when he returns. It's hard to see how a Republican wins a narrow vote with Rush against him.

 

 

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The Ref's Daily Political Brief

Ouch!  Giuliani says of McCain, “John would be a really good adviser’’

Feeling the Heat?  Huckabee of Limbaugh: ". . . if he’ll call me, I’d love to visit with him."

Romney Red Alert

Witness Remembers George Romney Marching with MLK - Chris Matthews Relentlessly Atacks - Insists on Pictures

 

Obama Pulls Ahead in NH

Obama: "could argue that there are more foreign policy experts from the Clinton administration supporting me than Senator Clinton . . ."

Romney: Huckabee is too Liberal

 

Giuliani on Hospital Visit: "I feel great now, I feel terrific. I've been tested out, everything came back 100 percent."

Newspaper Goes Above and Beyond to Stop Romney

Huckabee on "arrogant bunker mentality" comment: "I wrote most of the article" but cannot remember if he wrote comment

Governor Huckabee Frequently "sided with liberal Democrats"