RECOMMEND THE REF           

December 21, 2007

13 Days Until the Iowa Caucuses

CONSERVATIVE BLOGS

DISCLAIMER: The Ref does not express agreement with a post by posting it.  Interest and news value represent the standards for inclusion. 

Tancredo Defeats Thompson          Slate

Elizabeth and the Big House: Inside the Edwards marriage                           Slate

ANOTHER LEFTIST FAIRTAX HATCHET JOB                                               Boortz

AN ODD ACCOUNT! Even Dems think they see liberal bias! Dionne’s account helps explain why                           Daily Howler

Tom Tancredo’s exit; Update: Endorses Romney                                           Michelle Malkin

Global warming has stopped?        Casey's Critical Thinking

Freedom's Birth Certificate: sold to the gentleman in the back ...                  The Lighthouse

This Jesus Thing                                 For My Kountry

 

LIBERAL BLOGS

DISCLAIMER: The Ref does not express agreement with the post by posting it.  Interest and news value represent the standards for inclusion.

Iowa’s Conservatives, Unbound             The Caucus (NYT)

It's All About Hillary                       Media Notes

Depends on the Definition of "Never" Reason

The Revenge Of The Midgets            The Democratic Daily

Where Are The Adults?                     The Democratic Daily

Oops! The Media Did It Again            The Democratic Daily

The Secret to Productivity….ala Seinfeld                                           Cafe Leone

The Other Death Toll                         The Liberal Journal

Tancredo’s Surprise                           Comments From Left Field

McCain vs. The New York Times      Comments From Left Field

 

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Giuliani Leads by 2.6%
Giuliani 22.2
Huckabee
 19.6
Romney 14.7
McCain 13.3
Thompson 10.8
Paul 4.4
See All Polls
Clinton Leads by 17.0%
Clinton 43.1
Obama 26.1
Edwards 12.9
See All Polls
STATE PRIMARY LEADERS
(EARLY STATES)
Iowa
Huckabee +10.1%
Obama +1.0%
New Hampshire
Romney +9.0%
Clinton +6.3%
South Carolina
Huckabee +7.3%
Clinton +1.5%
Michigan
Romney +5.5%
Clinton +24.0% No Delegates
Florida
Giuliani +2.0%
Clinton +23.7%
Nevada
Giuliani +13.4%
Clinton +19.5%
Clinton 45.5
Giuliani 44.0
Clinton 47.3
Thompson 41.3
Clinton 43.0
McCain 46.0
Clinton 47.0
Romney 43.0
Clinton 46.0
Huckabee 43.0
See All Head-to-Head Polls

Why the Ref's Poll Averages Are Superior

The Ref's Calls

The Question Hillary Didn't Want Asked      | Safety

It's been said often, Hillary has a strategy of inevitability. But now that Obama has taken the lead in Iowa in the Ref's Poll Averages and in New Hampshire in some polls, that strategy seems to have failed. 

Certainly she wanted to ride the veil of inevitability as far as possible, and she's done that. There is no question that she no longer seems inevitable, although she may still be. Her advantage among women in the Democratic Party, a party dominated by women, may yet prove to make her unbeatable.

Regardless of how unbeatable she may be the Clintons have to assume the worst. Because the Clintons are now afraid you can expect the hardnosed campaign to begin drawing a clear contrast. In other words, Obama had better watch out. 

Expect the Clinton campaign to drive the experience point home and to be aggressive in doing so. The Clinton campaign will attack Obama in inverse proportion to the size of her lead in the polls. Be watchful because we may witness some of the most memorable ads and attacks of the coming election year over the next seventeen days. 

The Clinton campaign will do these things because the question they didn't want asked, is Hillary really inevitable, has been asked everywhere and the answer is no.

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The Ref's Daily Political Brief

Huckabee: "Everything but the kitchen sink is being thrown at me."

Huckabee Plays the Woe-Is-Me Card                                             AP | December 21, 2007

 

Romney Dissed by Hometown Papers, Including a Conservative One - Globe No Surprize

Two Top Boston Newspapers Endorse McCain, Not Romney        Fox News | December 21, 2007

Choice is clear: McCain’s the one                                           Boston Herald | December 21, 2007

 

Another Poll Shows Obama Even With Hillary in New Hampshire

Obama even with Clinton in new N.H. poll                            MSNBC | December 21, 2007

 

                                ROMNEY HAD A GOOD DAY: TANCREDO DROPS OUT AND ENDORSES HIM . . . ROMNEY'S LEADING CONTENDER IN NH MAY HAVE REQUESTED NYT TO SPIKE STORY ON GIVING SPECIAL TREATMENT TO LOBBYIST

Time Picks Putin Who Undermines Democracy Over General Petraeus Who Has Turned Iraq Around . . . But Award is for Impact, Not Necessarily Good Impact

Person of the Year 2007 - Time | December 20, 2007