December 18, 2007

16 Days Until the Iowa Caucuses

LATEST POLLS

CONSERVATIVE BLOGS

LIBERAL BLOGS

Photo Attributions

Click Here for Photo Attributions

 

 


 powered by FreeFind

THE LATEST AND MOST ACCURATE POLL NUMBERS EVERY DAY - SEE BELOW

Why the Ref's Poll Averages Are Superior

The Ref's Averages
REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
Giuliani Leads by 3.5%
Giuliani 23.1
Huckabee 19.6
Romney 14.1
McCain 12.6
Thompson 11.0
Paul 4.4
See All Polls
DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Clinton Leads by 18.5%
Clinton 43.1
Obama 24.6
Edwards 12.5
See All Polls
STATE PRIMARY LEADERS (EARLY STATES)
Iowa
Huckabee +7.8%
Obama +0.6%
New Hampshire
Romney +14.8%
Clinton +7.0%
South Carolina
Huckabee +1.0%
Clinton +6.2%
Michigan
Romney +5.5%
Clinton +24.0% No Delegates
Florida
Giuliani +11.0%
Clinton +33.5% No Delegates
Nevada
Giuliani +13.4%
Clinton +19.5%
HEAD-TO-HEAD MATCHUPS
Clinton 45.5
Giuliani 44.0
Clinton 47.3
Thompson 41.3
Clinton 43.0
McCain 46.0
Clinton 47.0
Romney 43.0
Clinton 46.0
Huckabee 43.0
See All Head-to-Head Polls

The Ref's Calls

The Question Hillary Didn't Want Asked      | Safety

It's been said often, Hillary has a strategy of inevitability. But now that Obama has taken the lead in Iowa in the Ref's Poll Averages and in New Hampshire in some polls, that strategy seems to have failed. 

Certainly she wanted to ride the veil of inevitability as far as possible, and she's done that. There is no question that she no longer seems inevitable, although she may still be. Her advantage among women in the Democratic Party, a party dominated by women, may yet prove to make her unbeatable.

Regardless of how unbeatable she may be the Clintons have to assume the worst. Because the Clintons are now afraid you can expect the hardnosed campaign to begin drawing a clear contrast. In other words, Obama had better watch out. 

Expect the Clinton campaign to drive the experience point home and to be aggressive in doing so. The Clinton campaign will attack Obama in inverse proportion to the size of her lead in the polls. Be watchful because we may witness some of the most memorable ads and attacks of the coming election year over the next seventeen days. 

The Clinton campaign will do these things because the question they didn't want asked, is Hillary really inevitable, has been asked everywhere and the answer is no.

Thanks to FreeFind for providing the search technology for this website.

The Ref's Daily Political Brief

                                 Limbaugh Talks Down Huckabee, Promotes Romney as Likely to Beat Hillary

McCain Stages a Comeback in Iowa . . . Will it Work?

Huckabee Attacked by Romney for Clemency Record

 

Republicans' Worst Nightmare: Ron Paul May Be Leaning Toward a Third Pary Run - Would Bloomberg Offset Republican Losses with Dem Losses?

Does Huckabee Ad Include Subliminal Floating Cross?

 

Polls?  What polls? 

Hillary Attempts to Thaw

The Day of No More Castro May not be Far Off

Bob Kerrey Attempts to Explain that Foot is not in Mouth

National Health Service in UK Denies Prostate Cancer Sufferers