Despite making a number of close calls for Hillary in its overall projection of electoral votes, leading to a Hillary electoral lead, the Reuters/Ipsos polls this week show a close race in the key battlegrounds.
To underscore how close it is, consider the following scenario. If Trump were to win Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada and Wisconsin, Trump wins the election. These Reuters/Ipsos polls show Trump can do just that with only a slight bump in the polls, like from last night's debate, or if the polls are just a little bit off, like with Brexit.
These polls came after a Clinton win in the first debate and probably reflect a bump for her because of that. Trump leads in Iowa by two points and is tied in Colorado at 45 and North Carolina (44-43). Trump trails by small margins in Nevada (46-42), Wisconsin (46-42), Ohio (46-43) and Florida (49-44).
These polls came before the Trump tape was released and before the second debate. Next week's polls will let us know more, but we really need to wait until October 20th to get a really solid read on this race in the battlegrounds in the Reuters/Ipsos polls.
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Click here for Complete Ref's Battleground Index
|
| Florida |
Clinton 45.7, Trump 43.9 |
| UPI/CVoter |
10/2-10/9 |
398LV |
Clinton 48, Trump 47 |
| Reuters/Ipsos |
9/30-10/6 |
979LV |
Clinton 49, Trump 44 |
| Marist |
10/3-10/5 |
700LV |
Clinton 45, Trump 42 |
| Gravis |
10/3-10/4 |
821RV |
Clinton 46, Trump 46 |
| Emerson |
10/2-10/4 |
600LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 45 |
| Univ. of North Florida |
9/27-10/4 |
686LV |
Clinton 41, Trump 38 |
| Quinnipiac Univ |
9/27-10/2 |
545LV |
Clinton 46, Trump 41 |
| Opinion Savvy |
9/28-9/29 |
619LV |
Clinton 47, Trump 46 |
| PPP |
9/27-9/28 |
826LV |
Clinton 45, Trump 43 |
| Mason-Dixon |
9/27-9/29 |
820LV |
Clinton 46, Trump 44 |
| Fox 13/Opinion Survey |
9/28-9/29 |
619LV |
Clinton 47, Trump 46 |
| Suffolk |
9/19-9/21 |
500LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 45 |
| |
|
| Ohio |
Clinton 44.1, Trump 43.4 |
| UPI/CVoter |
10/2-10/9 |
341LV |
Clinton 50, Trump 46 |
| CBS/YouGov |
10/5-10/7 |
997LV |
Clinton 46, Trump 42 |
| Reuters/Ipsos |
9/30-10/6 |
609LV |
Clinton 46, Trump 43 |
| TargetSmart |
10/3-10/6 |
812LV |
Clinton 43, Trump 40 |
| PPP (Dem) |
10/5-10/6 |
782LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 43 |
| Monmouth |
10/1-10/4 |
405LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 42 |
| Quinnipiac Univ |
9/27-10/2 |
497LV |
Clinton 42, Trump 47 |
| Gravis |
9/22-9/23 |
850RV |
Clinton 42, Trump 43 |
| Fox News |
9/18-9/20 |
737LV |
Clinton 40, Trump 45 |
| |
|
| North Carolina |
Clinton 44.1, Trump 43.3 |
| UPI/CVoter |
10/2-10/9 |
514LV |
Clinton 48, Trump 47 |
| Reuters/Ipsos |
9/30-10/6 |
326LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 43 |
| Qunnipiac Univ |
9/27-10/2 |
507LV |
Clinton 46, Trump 43 |
| Bloomberg |
9/29-10/2 |
805LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 43 |
| Elon |
9/12-9/16 |
644LV |
Clinton 45, Trump 39 |
| PPP (Dem poll) |
9/27-9/28 |
861LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 42 |
| Fox News |
9/18-9/20 |
734LV |
Clinton 42, Trump 47 |
| PPP |
9/18-9/20 |
1024LV |
Clinton 43, Trump 45 |
| NYT |
9/16-9/19 |
782LV |
Clinton 41, Trump 41 |
| |
|
| Wisconsin |
Clinton 46.2, Trump 41.2 |
| CBS/YouGov |
10/5-10/7 |
993LV |
Clinton 43, Trump 39 |
| UPI/CVoter |
10/2-10/9 |
349LV |
Clinton 51, Trump 46 |
| Reuters/Ipsos |
9/30-10/6 |
687LV |
Clinton 46, Trump 42 |
| Gravis |
10/4 |
1102RV |
Clinton 48, Trump 40 |
| Emerson |
9/19-9/20 |
700LV |
Clinton 45, Trump 38 |
| Marquette |
9/15-9/18 |
677LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 42 |
| |
|
| Iowa |
Clinton 42.6, Trump 46.2 |
| UPI/CVoter |
10/2-10/9 |
322LV |
Clinton 49, Trump 47 |
| Des Moines Register |
10/3-10/6 |
642LV |
Clinton 39, Trump 43 |
| Reuters/Ipsos |
9/30-10/6 |
359LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 46 |
| Quinnipiac |
9/13-9/21 |
612LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 50 |
| Monmouth |
9/12-9/14 |
404LV |
Clinton 37, Trump 45 |
| |
|
| Nevada |
Clinton 43.9, Trump 42.6 |
| UPI/CVoter |
10/2-10/9 |
320LV |
Clinton 48, Trump 45 |
| Reuters/Ipsos |
9/16-10/6 |
342LV |
Clinton 46, Trump 42 |
| Emerson |
10/2-10/4 |
700LV |
Clinton 43, Trump 43 |
| KTNV |
9/27-10/2 |
700LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 41 |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal |
9/27-9/29 |
800LV |
Clinton 45, Trump 44 |
| Suffolk |
9/27-9/29 |
500LV |
Clinton 44, Trump 38 |
| Fox News |
9/18-9/20 |
704LV |
Clinton 42, Trump 46 |
| Rasmussen Reports |
9/16-9/18 |
800LV |
Clinton 39, Trump 42 |
|
