REF'S ELECTORAL VOTE PROJECTION: I predicted 48 of 50 states correctly.
I used the same method I have used since 2008. I analyzed thousands of polls throughout 2016 to develop a voter model. I compared national numbers and state numbers in developing this model. I applied this voter model to 142 polls in 11 battleground states from the last two weeks. I also applied this voter model to the national polls. I achieved very high accuracy in both predictions.
NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE PROJECTION: I projected the national popular vote with an error of only 0.7%. You can see a summary of how I did this here, including time stamp. Actual Popular Vote: Clinton 48.0, Trump 46.6
Here is a link to my first electoral projection on 11/4/16, archived at freerepublic.com. In this projection, I was projecting that Trump would win Michigan. I nearly gave it to Trump in the last projection, but the national polls broke for Hillary and CCES poll had it at six points, so I didn't.
I also made a video of this first projection linked here. Bad audio.
More Analysis from the Ref
Imagine MSM reaction if Trump revealed top secret tactical nuclear information in front of 70 million people
James O'Keefe promises devastating releases next week. He discussed it Friday on reddit.com/r/The_Donald.