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11/11/16  

Politcal Ref predicted the popular vote and 48 of 50 states - See all of the 2016 data here. Comparisons below.

Missed States are Depicted in Purple
#1 PoliticalRef.com | See Analysis
Called 48 of 50 - Missed 2 states
Popular VoteElectoral Vote
The Ref: Clinton 47.9, Trump 47.1
Actual Vote: Clinton 47.7, Trump 47.4
Error: 0.5%

fivethirtyeight.com | See Analysis
Called 44 of 50 - Missed 6 states
Popular VoteElectoral Vote
538: Clinton 48.5, Trump 44.9
Actual Vote: Clinton 47.7, Trump 47.4
Error: 3.3%

Sabato's Crystal Ball | See Analysis
Called 45 of 50 - Missed 5 states
Popular VoteElectoral Vote
Sabato: No popular vote prediction
 
 

Huffington Post | See Analysis
Called 44 of 50 - Missed 6 states
Popular VoteElectoral Vote
HuffPo: Clinton 47.3, Trump 42.0
Actual Vote: Clinton 47.7, Trump 47.4
Error: 5%

RealClearPolitics.com | See Analysis
Called 46 of 50 - Missed 4 States
Popular VoteElectoral Vote
RCP: Clinton 45.5, Trump 42.2
Actual Vote: Clinton 47.7, Trump 47.4
Error: 3%

Actual Results
Popular Vote: Clinton 47.7%, Trump 47.4%
Electoral Vote: Trump 306, Clinton 232
 
 
 

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