Trump pulls ahead in Florida poll average

Trump is now tied or leading in five of the nine closest battlegrounds. He is also tied or leading in five of the six battlegrounds he would need for election. So he could be as close as one state away.

Trump took the lead in the poll averages in Florida today, a significant shift. No doubt the Hillary camp intended to take a lead into the debates, but that is now out the window.

All the talking heads assumed Trump would need a major breakthrough in the debates, but now it looks like it may be enough just to avoid mistakes. The trend in all of the state polling is favoring Trump. Follow my new account on Twitter for daily updates on the election!

Trump now leading Hillary in average of Florida polls +0.5 Points

0.17 point Margin in Ref's Battlegrounds.

There are now four realisitic scenarios where Trump can win without Pennsylvania.