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11/05/16

Trump managed to change expectations

On the night of the third debate, October 19th, I showed this poll result showing that Hillary had a twenty-point advantage on the question of who will win the election. Trump had to change this if he expects to win because expectations play a very large role in turnout. You can see with the updated chart below it that he has changed expectations, a critically important measure. Trump has managed to close this gap by eleven points, which should be enough to maximize his turnout.