Political Ref - Fight Media Bias - Poll Averages - Election Polls - Presidential Polls

Top 5 Battleground States
Nat'l	Obama vs. McCain	Clinton vs. McCain
Ref's Avg. of Battle- grounds	McCain +4.7	McCain +1.1
PA	McCain +4.5	Clinton +0.5
FL	McCain +12.0	Clinton +2.5
OH	McCain +4.5	Clinton +1.0
MO	McCain +8.0	Clinton +1.0
IA	Obama +5.5	McCain +10.5

Ref's Poll Notes

The nine-point lead Hillary has over McCain in the AP-Ipsos poll is out of sync with the other polls. We have to wait and see if other polls find her lead increasing to determine if this is an anomaly. There does, however, seem to be definite movement in North Carolina with Obama's lead shrinking. Three polls all put his lead at around ten points.

You might have noticed that Obama's lead over Clinton in the Democratic nomination dropped from 10.0 points to 5.2 points overnight. This occurred because the Newsweek poll showing a 19-point lead was replaced with the new Newsweek numbers showing a 7-point lead. The 19-point lead was an anomaly. No other poll showed a lead nearly that large for Obama.

Now that Pennsylvania has concluded, Indiana and North Carolina represent the most important states in this Democratic primary. Watch to see if Hillary can cut into Obama's large North Carolina lead or build up a lead in Indiana. If the numbers remain as they are now, that's bad news for Hillary. Her Indiana lead is small and tenuous and she trails badly in North Carolina. The best she can probably hope for is a wash in terms of popular vote between these two states. If she does that she's succeeded. It doesn't look like she will do that at this point.

Why the Ref's Poll Averages Offer More

Poll Rumblings: Obama loses 1/3 of his North Carolina lead, 15.1 to 10.3 - Hillary gets big boost over Obama in head-to-head with McCain from AP-Ipsos Poll

Quote of the Day On the Weathermen: "Leave it to these nincompoops to turn their glorious Marxist revolution into an “I Love Lucy” sketch." Read More . . .

MEDIA DISTORTION ALERT - New York Times - D.N.C. Advertisement: McCain’s ‘100 Years’ in Iraq - The New York Times sees no problem with the most recent DNC ad that takes McCain's 100 years comment out of context. See the DNC Ad and compare it with McCain's actual comments

Rev. Wright Defends Sermons and Obama, Rattles Critics at NAACP Dinner

McCain Criticizes Remarks by Obama’s Former Pastor - Interesting that he did this after criticizing the North Carolina GOP for including Rev. Wright's comments in an ad.

Democrats Registering In Record Numbers - 1 Million New Voters In Last 7 Primaries - I wonder how many new registrants were the result of Operation Chaos. Perhaps we'll never know. I'm not aware of a poll on this. If you know of one please email me.

Clock Stops on ‘Obama Watch’ - Transcript: Obama on FNS

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