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Poll Averages Last Updated 4/23/08
THE REF'S POLL AVERAGES
THE REF'S AVERAGES EXPLAINED
Democratic Nomination
Obama +11.0%
Obama	50.6
Clinton	39.6
See All Polls
Upcoming States (Dems)
Indiana: Clinton 48.8, Obama 42.4        Clinton +6.4
North Carolina: Obama 50.3, Clinton 35.2 Obama +15.1
West Virginia: Clinton 55.0, Obama 27.0 Clinton +28.0
Kentucky: Clinton 62.0, Obama 26.0      Clinton +36.0
Head-to-Head Matchups
Obama vs. McCain -  Obama +0.6%
Obama	45.8
McCain	45.2
Clinton vs. McCain - Clinton +0.2%
Clinton	45.6
McCain	45.4
See All Head-to-Head Polls

Ref's Poll Notes

Now that Pennsylvania has concluded, Indiana and North Carolina represent the most important states in this Democratic primary. Watch to see if Hillary can cut into Obama's large North Carolina lead or build up a lead in Indiana. If the numbers remain as they are now, that's bad news for Hillary. Her Indiana lead is fine but she needs to cut into Obama's North Carolina lead.  The best she can probably hope for is a wash in terms of popular vote between these two states.  If she does that she's succeeded.

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